With all poker hands, we use the highest-ranking card to determine which wins. That means your chances of flopping a royal flush are . 02113 Two Pair 123,552 0. There are four possible royal flush combinations in poker. some casinos will pay less than 4,000 coins for a royal flush; therefore, always check to be sure that the payout for a. A Royal flush is the best poker hand possible. 4-of-a-kind hands. The game sometimes bumps up some of the four of a kind wins too, for a sixth coin bet. For an ace high straight flush (a royal flush), the wild card can be any of the five cards: A,K,Q,J,T and there are four suits, so there are 20 ways this can happen. Note that the ace can act as both the high card of an ace-to-ten royal flush and the low card of an ace-to-five straight flush. I have a simple question about the odds of this. Sports; Slots; Casino. 5M subscribers in the nevertellmetheodds. A ♥ K ♥ Q ♥ J ♥ 10 ♥ – a. . 000020; Payout: 4000 coins; Joker Poker games all have one thing in common that sets them apart from other video poker variants – the presence of the joker card. A Straight Flush and 4 of a Kind are stronger than a Full House, and a Full House is rarely beaten on the river in a game of Texas Hold’em poker. They are ranked by high card, from Ace-High (AKQJT) down to five-high (5432A). So - the odds of hitting a royal flush would be 4/2,598,960, which would work out to 1/649,740. They lost with quads which happens like 0. 00000153907 which is computed as 4 possible royal flush hands divided by 52C5 total cases as you pointed out. Add up the two power ratings (PR) for each viable way to play the hand, and go with the greater sum. In progressive 9/6 Jacks or Better, with Ace-Ten-any card combination, one should keep three to a progressive Royal, when Royal pays out more than 5 335 coins without a Flush Penalty. 0000012: 0. 0426. Pretty unlikely! Lastly, if the highest card in a straight flush combination is an ace, this card combination is called a royal flush. 027851% 3,589. only trailing the straight flush and the royal flush. Let’s assume you play for 8 hour at a speed of 400 hands per hour, or 3200 hands total. The game is played with a single ordinary 52-card deck. From here, the odds of a royal flush are 649,739 : 1, the odds of four of a kind are 4,164 : 1. It just so happens that we also refer to an ace-high straight flush as a royal flush. Considering that the odds of any four of a kind are 1-in-4,164 and the odds of a royal flush are 1-in-649,739, the odds of both hands facing off in a showdown are an. Three-way (0. In the 2008 World Series of Poker Motoyuki Mabuchi's quad aces were beaten by Justin Phillip's Royal flush. 2. Second, it eliminates the chance of a fifth card of the same rank showing. Was the person with the royal chasing a flush draw to the river with bad pot odds or how did that hand go lolA royal flush is the highest-ranking Poker hand and consists of a sequence of a 10, Jack, Queen, King, and Ace, all of which with the same suit. If you have played enough poker, you have experienced your share of coolers. If a play is not listed, that means there is always a better alternative, and it should never be played. pokertube Poker Hands. For a flush, there are 12 options for card 2, 11 options for card 3, 10 options for card 4 and 9 options for card 5 = 11880. The odds against making a royal flush are 649,739-to-1. When two or more players hold a flush, the hands are compared card-to-card until one hand wins (the highest next card wins, such as when A-7-6-3-2 beats A-7-5-4-3). However, all things considered, my answer for the game with the most natural royals is Chase the Royal. 76%. Three to a straight flush, spread 4, with at least one high card (ten or greater) Three to a straight flush, spread 5, with at least two high cards. 7 billion to 1 sounds pretty crazy. g. heyyitsfranklin • 6 yr. Poker Hand No. 7 . 005%. it’s hard to blame the person who found themself in possession of quad queens on their first hand of the fourth day of the $1,000 buy-in “Mystery Millions” tournament for. 5. Subscribe here to our channel: h. Odds Of Hitting Royal Flush Texas Holdem. Nothing beats a royal flush, and only a straight flush or royal flush beat quads. The probability of just a case 1 bad beat is 1 in 439 million. 8. That's exactly what happened when Dana Belman flopped a royal flush and then rivered quads in Event #25: $1,000 Pot-Limit Omaha on Tuesday. Royal Flush : The highest hand (ace-high straight flush). The first card has probability $frac{52}{52}$ of having the same suit as any previously drawn cards (because there are none). Turning one pair into a Quad: 1 / 360: Improving Three of a Kind: Odds: Turning Three of a Kind into a Full House: 1 / 16: Turning Three of a Kind into a Quad: 1 / 24: Completing a Flush: Odds: Drawing one card to make a Flush: 1 / 5: Drawing two cards to make a Flush: 1 / 24: Completing Straights: Odds: Drawing one card into an open-ended. It is the only time I. HAND IMPROVE TO OUTS ON TURN/RIVER ON RIVER ONLY; Open ended straight flush draw: Straight/Flush/Pair: 21: 72. Quad aces; four aces: Straight flush: Ace-high straight flush (Also called a Royal Flush). Royal flush over quad aces is roughly 1 in 165 million, so that guy must've felt like the unluckiest man in the whole world. When ace-low straights and ace-low straight flushes are not counted, the probabilities of each are reduced: straights and straight flushes each become 9/10 as common as they otherwise would be. Probability. D against royal flush that would be awesome Bagfrog 14 Jul 11, 15:30 #10. Texas Holdem Royal Flush Odds - The Sports Geek. If your DDB paytable pays 6 for a flush, use 8/6 Bonus Poker Deluxe strategy as a starting point (proposed changes in bold): Basic Strategy Full house or better 4 to a royal flush Flush Straight 3 of a kind 4 to a straight flush 2 pair 1 pair Aces 4 to a flush with 3 high cardsThe odds of hitting quads on the flop are a minuscule 0. Four-of-a-kind beats a full house. Straight flush. A "bug" is a card (typically a Joker) that can be used to fill a straight or flush, but is otherwise just an Ace. Royal straight flush vs quad aces!!! unsubscribe. org Royal flushes top all other hands in the poker hand rankings and are mathematically the rarest made hands that you can draw from a 52-card poker deck. 568:1: Four of a Kind: 224,848: 0. 04060289. With all poker hands, we use the highest-ranking card to determine which wins. This means it is the highest Straight Flush and is the rarest of all poker hands to get. The probability of being dealt a pair in Texas Hold’em is 5. com, and cardplayer. Have you ever hit a Royal Flush at a live poker table?!Your only way to beat four of a kind, or "quads" as they are often called, is to hold either a straight flush or a Royal Flush. Royal Flush (five credit bet) 800. Calculate Total 5 Card hands Choose 5 cards from 52 cards. The Q came on the river, which also gave the big blind quad queens. Royal Flush Probability: 0. This is also a five-card hand, all of the same suit and in order. 7 billion. I have a simple question about the odds of this occurring. I was dealt three to the royal, Ten, Jack, King of hearts with a pair of tens playing 8/5 Bonus. 00027538. With your example, you just multiply 48,048 X 48,048 and the odds of hitting back-to-back royals are 2,308,610,304 to 1. . Quad Aces in Hold Em Ok, so the odds of me holding the Royal (and both cards playing in each hand) is about 878 million to one. From here, the odds of a royal flush are 649,739 : 1, the odds of four of a kind are 4,164 : 1. A royal flush beats a straight flush…. There are at least 5 different poker hand combinations that rank lower. If you LOVE Live at the Bike! and want access to exclusive content and emojis, become a YouTube member! Support us here: If the dealer has a blackjack, the Super 4 Bonus will pay odds. A royal flush hand is the strongest hand in many popular poker variations and is an unbeatable hand. 0015%. The EV of playing the AA/two pair is much higher. 24% and making it by the river goes up to about 0. This poker hand includes 4 cards of equal rank. According to the commentators in the aftermath, it was determined that the odds of these two hands combining on the river were something like one in 2. The probability of making quads on the flop is roughly 0. And once every 311,875,200 hands a club RF in the order show. Royal-4200 St Flush-250 4 Aces-750 4/2,3,4-450 FourKind-250 Fullhouse-40 Flush-25 Straight-20 3Kind-10 2Pair-10 JacksBetter-5. 0000000060747, or about 1 in 165 million. 0. The odds of getting four-of-a-kind are slightly higher (0. The best hand (because of the low probability that it will occur) is the royal flush, which consists of 10, J, Q, K, A of the same suit. If you get that first ace, you then have a 3 in 51 (or 1 in 17) chance to get a second ace. For example, if Player-2 has $(4)$ 10's and a 9, then it is impossible for Player-3 to have a royal flush. Quad aces; four aces: Straight flush: Ace-high straight flush (Also called a Royal Flush). But Ray's best role will always be when he was at the table during the 2008 WSOP Main Event when the infamous quad aces vs royal flush hand went down:. 646. . There's another type of jackpot. Texas holdem chances of royal flushIf you’re holding a pair, the flop will bring you four of a kind about 1 in 119 tries, or 0. The last community card is either the 9 or you have it as a pocket card. 015%), two-way (0. So the final probability is 91920, or 1 in 43316. 00002 Four-of-a-Kind 624 0. 981%. Also, a further complication: if Player-1 has a straight flush, of unspecified rank, Player-2 (for example) does not need a royal flush. Hold 1 1 in 178,365The probability of making quads on the flop is roughly 0. Belman held and the flop came down . There are four different Royal Flush hands, one for each suit. The odds of someone getting a straight flush are 1 in 72,000 and Royal Flush 1 in 649,000. 7 billion. A flush is a set of five cards of the same suit, such as five hearts or five spades. Probability to Improve After Flop. From Problem 2, we know that there are four hands that qualify as a royal flush. ESPN and others quoted it as 1 in approximately 2. Doesn’t mean I would. Hot. A 5-card poker hand is dealt from a well shuffled regular 52-card playing card deck. 01%), and one-way straight flush hands (0. The best possible hand in Texas hold'em is the combination of ten, jack, queen, king, ace, all of the same suit. 4 aces = quad' aces = AAAAx). 00027538 = about 0. The Q came on the river, which also gave the big blind quad queens. Quad Aces (two aces in hole) lost to a Royal Flush. Odds Of Hitting A Royal Flush Texas Holdem - nexttree. 001%: Percent chance to flop quads without a pocket pair (1 in 1000) 0. A Royal Flush in a poker casino game is the highest possible hand. The next table above is based on playing the hand in question the less volatile way. That’s a little better than your chances of drawing a five-card random straight flush, but the odds against making a. So an ace-high straight flush is the best possible holding. A secondary reasoning for this is because in video poker 4 of a kind made with the 4 actual cards pays out higher than 3 of a kind with a wild. If you can make a royal flush, the call is yours on a 5 coin bet, but if you bet less than 5 coins, go for the quad aces. It ranks under a Straight Flush (and Royal Straight Flush). If the board has, say, 33337, then anyone with a card higher than the 7 can pay that as their fifth card, and the highest one wins (likely 2 or 3 will split the pot with an ace). 63 ; Flush: 1 in 23. Obviously he didn't have a club. 00139%, with the odds against at 72,192. Between three to a royal and a high pair, the high pair is listed first, and thus is the better play. The royal flush probability in different poker variants such as Texas Hold’em and Omaha in different betting rounds are: In Texas Hold ’em, the probabilities of making a Royal Flush are: In the Preflop round, it is 0. IF YOU MEAN TO EXCLUDE ROYAL FLUSHES, SUBTRACT 4 (SEE THE NEXT TYPE OF HAND): the number of hands would then be 4*10-4 = 36, with probability approximately 0. 4 of a kind or better. 0482655, or about 1 in 20. And, from Problem 1, we know that there are 2,598,960 distinct poker hands. CryptoYour odds of a royal flush are 0. I think if I flopped 4/5 of a royal, I would have a hard time folding it. “Running good” and “running bad” are terms commonly used to describe a lucky and an unlucky streak respectively. 34 ; Straight: 1 in 12. The game is played with a normal deck of 52 cards like Hold'em. the jackpot would be triggered by that hand getting beaten by quad eights or better, a straight flush or a Royal Flush – a “bad beat”, due to how statistically improbable it is for your opponents to beat. 25. Ways Probability Royal Flush 4 0. I imagine after losing quad aces to a royal flush. The chance of 4 or a kind in 7 cards is 594 : 1. 2%: Percent chance to hit quads on the flop with a pocket pair (1 in 407) 0. The middle hand is second best with two pairs, jacks and nines. Poker 4 aces vs royal flush larger the count, the more favorable the deck. Overall the straight flush only contributes 0. However, the introduction of jokers can alter the probability of obtaining certain hands that, without their presence, would be almost impossible to obtain. 72 ; 3 of a Kind: 1 in 19. 00014986:. The royal flush will remain at the top, followed by the straight flush and the quad aces. (For example, A,2,3,4,5 is a straight,. GameStop Moderna Pfizer Johnson & Johnson AstraZeneca Walgreens Best Buy Novavax SpaceX Tesla. What you will see below is a typical payout table for Jacks or Better. 27M subscribers in the videos community. . The best possible hand in Texas hold'em is the combination of ten, jack, queen, king, ace, all of the same suit. Royal Flush vs Quad Aces - Ultimate Cooler. Ace also may play as the lowest card in the straight ace, 2, 3, 4, 5. 975× (total PR)-1. Multiply this by 2 because the ten could just as easily be the first card and the answer is 2*(4/52)*(16/51) = 128/2652 = 0. Best data for your best shot!The probability of being dealt a royal straight flush (ace, king, queen, jack, and ten of the same suit) in poker is about 1. Probability Odds; Royal Flush: 4324 : 1 in 30940: 1 to 30939: Straight Flush: 37260 : 81 / 290836: 81 to 290755: 4 of a Kind:. The odds of a royal flush in Texas Holdem is 1 in 30,940. The following table lists, for each hand, the number and probability of a given hand. I have seen the 9/5 pay table at the Casablanca in Mesquite, Nevada, on January 9, 2006. In any event, don’t expect to be dealt a royal flush in your poker career. 00164604 = 0. So the probability of an ace first blackjack is (4/52)*(16/51). The strategy below is more than 99. One thing I'd like to point out is that this table can be deceiving to math newbies. Find step-by-step Precalculus solutions and your answer to the following textbook question: Suppose five cards are drawn from a deck. Royal flush; Straight flush; Four of a kind (regular or Quick Quads) 4 to a royal flush; Full house; Three of a kind. The following table shows the return table based on a breakeven meter of 20536. So in actual fact if your dealt pocket Aces the chances of seeing a 4 of a kind is actually about 1 in 123. In the 2008 World Series of Poker Motoyuki Mabuchi's quad aces were beaten by Justin Phillip's Royal flush. Return rate. A "reversible royal" is one that pays a premium for a sequential royal flush in EITHER direction. For example, with three cards, a royal flush would be suited QKA. 3%: 1. anonymous. The elusive royal flush is just a higher-degree straight. The odds of getting that hand are even smaller than the odds of getting a royal flush, though. This is an uncommon video poker variable that is characterized by paying 800 for a four aces, mostly at the exepnse of starting the pay table at a pair of aces. 5^x+0. 4 of those are royal flushes. If you have no pair. It just so happens that we also refer to an ace-high straight flush as a royal flush. 008700: 0. 0. The odds are 87,897 to 1 (0. So, the probability of a four aces losing to a royal flush is 8,448/2,781,381,002,400 = 0. It took something like 170,000 hands but I finally got a royal flush Saturday night at Harrah's Rincon. 40 ; Two Pairs: 1 in 3. But since you can draw one time your odds increase. The joker is semi-wild. CryptoThe odds of either 800 win are 1 in 10,823, based on the 9-7 pay table. An ace-high straight flush, such as A ♦ K ♦ Q ♦ J ♦ 10 ♦, is called a royal flush or royal straight flush and is the best possible hand in ace-high games when wild cards are not used. For example, an ace, king, queen, jack and 10 of hearts. The probability that the first card is an ace is 4/52. • Royal Flush (Diamonds) wins the top Progressive Jackpot. There are 1,326 different hole-card combinations in Texas Hold'em poker and 6 of them are aces. The Royal flush probability for completing the hand is very low though. If you're dealt quad 9s, for example, and hold all five cards, there's no chance the machine will deal a fifth. HAND PAYS; Royal Flush: 500 to 1:. The bet amount is $1, nd there is no Envy Bonus. A Royal Flush and Quad Aces are the rarest and 3rd rarest hands possible, and the fact the quads are Aces makes it all the more impressive. The royal flush is a case of the straight flush. Quad Aces loses in main event. Five-Card Stud (Natural) Probabilities Hand Number Probability Straight Flush 2 40 0. 0019654 Full house 3,744 0. 000154% chance of making poker's ultimate hand. 1% but the odds are still very much against you. This side bet is made available to be placed once the player has been dealt his two cards and the dealer's upcard is an Ace. According to the Card Player poker odds calculator, the Dutch poker pro was less than one percent to win the hand after the flop. It may be used as an ace, or to complete a straight, flush, straight flush or royal flush. Hold 1 1 in 178,365 The odds for a straight flush are 0. Four of a Kind. What are the odds of getting a royal flush in video poker? A Royal Flush sees a player getting a hand of five cards all of the same suit, namely, the Ace, King,. The royal flush is the best hand available in poker. 00393 Three-of-a-Kind 54,912 0. However, computing the probability that neither Player-2 nor Player-3 has a royal flush is complicated. Cumulative probability Odds against; Royal flush: 1: 4: 0. 00197 Straight 10,200 0. 00139%. For the purpose of this table, a royal flush, straight flush, flush, and straight must use all cards. Also what are the odds that I have red hair like that dude (mine's darker) and would probably look just as *****ed if I ever went out in public with a wifebeater?For now, let’s take a look at the general rules of poker that concern hand ranking and answers the question does four of a kind beat a flush. There are nearly 2. A royal flush is the best possible straight flush - Ace, King, Queen, Jack, and Ten of the same suit - e. Considering. It isn’t likely to pay, and I am sure the right move if there is a shove is to fold. So the only way the guy with four of a kind Ace can lose, is if the other guy has straight flush or Royal flush. The probability of any player landing a royal flush is 0. Many sources (including VNH Poker, pokerstars. k. A List of Long-Shot Odds in Texas Holdem Feb 15, 2016 - 3 min - Uploaded by ConsciousPokerMy reader Toon sent this sick poker hand where he flopped the quads and that was still no Dec 5, 2008 - 1 min - Uploaded by raphaelhalimInsane Poker Hands!!!Jan 14, 2016 - 14 min - Uploaded by. Speaking of the Main Event, on this week's episode of Cracking Aces, Jake talked about the time he bluffed Phil Ivey off of a set in the first level of the Main, which is probably just. What’s the odds of flopping a royal flush? There are 2598960 unique 5-card poker hands (C(n,r). , anything between a 10 and an Ace. 0000000060747, or about 1 in 165 million. Also known as quads, four of a kind is a hand like 7h 7s 7c 7d 2s, that has. Reddit's main subreddit for videos. A full house beats a flush. GameStop Moderna Pfizer Johnson & Johnson AstraZeneca Walgreens Best Buy Novavax SpaceX Tesla. Getting A Royal Flush In Texas Holdem. 2. = at least 18432. Furthermore it is impossible to see a Royal flush vs Royal flush Texas Poker hand play out. IF YOU MEAN TO EXCLUDE ROYAL FLUSHES, SUBTRACT 4 (SEE THE NEXT TYPE OF HAND): the number of hands would then be 4*10-4 = 36, with probability approximately 0. Summary: odds of getting a four of a kind, all aces, with both hole cards: 17280/62748517 = 0. 000,015,39 Four-of-a-Kind 624 0. There are 178,365 possible hands that can be made when saving one ace. Thus the odds of being dealt aces in any hand are 6 to 1,320 or 1 to 221 (or 0. Expressed in odds form, the odds of being dealt a Royal Flush in Video Poker are 649,739-to-1 among most US online casinos. Royals are supposed to hit about. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. Quads 10 to 1*. → . 4 Aces is a very high hand to get, but a Royal Flush is the highest hand in poker and VERY rare. Happened at my table in bay101 : r/poker. That's equivalent to throwing a quarter and having land on heads about 50 times in a row. 4 to a straight flush. 07%. And of course in tournaments there's. 7% – still unlikely, but not. If two or more players reach showdown with a hand that is of equal value, then the pot is split and each remaining player gets the same amount. , "jacks full of sixes" JJJ66). That means that the KQJT must all be community cards. "So, the probability of a four aces losing to a royal flush is 8,448/2,781,381,002,400 = 0. 10 ♠ J ♠ Q ♠ K ♠ A ♠. ESPN and others quoted it as 1 in approximately 2. If you threw away no kickers, there would be 12 quad-aces-with-a-kicker hands out of 178,365 so the odds against getting your final hand in. For example, “Turning one pair into a quad . Here’s a look at some of the stats related to four of a kind: 2%: Percent chance to hit quads by the river with a pocket pair (1 in 122) 0. 0. A poker hand consisting of 5 cards, is dealt from pack of 52 cards. The second card has probability $frac{12}{51}$ because there are twelve left out of 51 total that match the suit of the first card. The Royal Flush Girls Check Out the Playground Poker Club Main Tour WPT Montreal Season 2015-2016 Apr 3, 2015 Making a Royal Flush is every poker player's dream. From Problem 2, we know that there are four hands that qualify as a royal flush. Business, Economics, and Finance. 8824% or 1 : 16. 65% of that of a straight flush, but a royal pays 16 times more. A Royal Flush is the highest possible hand in Poker and the odds are 649,739: 1. When two people have a full house, the highest three of a kind wins. So the only way the guy with four of a kind Ace can lose, is if the other guy has straight flush or Royal flush. Odds of catching the gutshot Royal Flush on the turn 1/47 = 0. Reply reply ohm2k • Ace to 5 straight flush is a Steel Wheel. I have been at a jackpot table about six or. WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOW bachouuuu 14 Jul 11, 16:50 #11. An ace-high straight flush, such as A ♦ K ♦ Q ♦ J ♦ 10 ♦, is called a royal flush or royal straight flush and is the best possible hand in high games when not using wild cards. Naturally, a nine-high straight flush would beat a six-high straight flush, for example. 3-to-1. Royal Flush. What a head rip! GRAB SOME PINE MABUCHI!! 490 votes, 11 comments. This page shows my strategy for 10/6 Double Double Bonus Poker. We passed this question off to the inimitable Michael Shackleford, a. 168067% 594:1: Full House: 3,473,184: 2. Suppose that an avid poker player sees 100 hands a week, 52 weeks a year, for 20 years. Probability of Royal Flush. ”. The return is 99. There is only a probability of 4/2,598,960 = 1/649,740 = 0. So, for example, A-Joker-3-5-7 is a pair of aces, 3-4-Joker-6-7 is a 7-high straight, but K-K-Joker-9-5 is just a pair of kings with an Ace kicker. Straight Flush 50 to 1. Royal Flush (Straight Flush) A royal flush is essentially the best possible hand that you can get in poker, but it’s still just a straight flush. 00016953. A royal flush consists of the Ace, King, Queen, Jack, and Ten, all of the same suit. Flush:. 009234: Straight flush: 200: 1656: 0. According to the Card Player poker odds calculator, the Dutch poker pro was less than one percent to win the hand after the flop. 00000000025. The probability that one hand is a royal flush is 0. For a flush, there are 12 options for card 2, 11 options for card 3, 10 options for card 4 and 9 options for card 5 = 11880. Now of course I can calculate the probability of something happening with that odds in X number of chances. Bonus Deuces Wild Rules. 0001%: Percent chance that quads get beaten (1 in 100,000)So my ranking would be as follows: Royal flush - made without wild cards. While. The only way to lose with a King high straight flush is to a royal flush of the same suit. 03. If they are identical, the highest kicker wins. significantly lower. Poker hand Ways Probability Straight 10,200 0. 0279%. 00003232 Other straight flush 37,260 0. 25 ; Straight Flush or Royal Flush: 1 in 729. But what are the actual odds of getting a royal flush? And how can you increase your chances of hitting this elusive hand? Skip to content. So, odds of getting four aces, then having your one opponent get a straight flush: 0. Let's start with some rather simple but quite important odds: being dealt aces. 144% Flush 5,108 0. 000000001% of the time (probably slightly more in Omaha, idk the math there) 3. 65% of that of a straight flush, but a royal pays 16 times more. The probability of being dealt a royal flush is 0. Fact-2) Given pocket aces, odds to hit quad aces until showdown = 1/122. . 006162: Four Aces with any 2,3,4An ace high straight flush, such as Ad Kd Qd Jd 10d is called a royal flush, and is the highest ranked hand in standard poker, without wild cards. If a hand meets the criteria for two classifications, then it is always classified as the. An ace-high straight flush, such as A ♦ K ♦ Q ♦ J ♦ 10 ♦, is called a royal flush or royal straight flush and is the best possible hand in high games when not using wild cards. Raise 3x with royal flush draw. 84% of the time. To make it a little more clearer, the odds of hitting four of a kind are 1 in 4,100. Four of a kind. For example, “Turning one pair into a quad . First, holding all five cards reduces the chance that you press a wrong button and miss holding the dealt quad. Of course you have to be holding the right cards for the odds to be correct. Probability Return; Player and dealer ace high: 40: 0.